Several years ago, there was no investment that was sure as the housing market. All you had to do was to buy a decent house in a decent neighborhood, and you could easily see your house double or triple in value in just a few short years. This was amazing for the economy, as it gave people lots of confidence.
Like all things that seemed to good to be true, this eventually ended. And when it did, plenty of people were hurt. Many defaulted on their loans, and a ripple effect went through the whole economy. Demand for houses dried up, and the prices sank like a stone. People watched their equity evaporate before their eyes.
Naturally, most homes today are worth far less than they were just a few short years ago. Some people were toying with the idea of cashing out and moving, but they missed the chance. Nobody knows when or even if the housing market will ever rebound.
We may be past the worst of the crisis, depending on who you ask. On the other hand, the worst may still be yet to come. Some areas seem to be showing some signs of recovery, as home values seem to be on the rebound. The housing market is so complex that it\’s difficult to get a good idea what\’s going on when we\’re right in the middle of a crisis.
There are a few people who believe that the housing market will never recover to it\’s previous highs. This means that house prices will continue to drift sideways, and not really go up and down much. This makes buying your own home a completely different kind of investment.
Other bubbles have demonstrated the same price behavior. When the stock market crashed in 1929, it didn\’t return to it\’s previous value for thirty years. That\’s a long time. The housing market may take just as long to return to the same price levels.
Obviously, nobody knows for sure what is going to happen in the future. If you own a home now, keep paying your mortgage. If you are thinking of buying a house, make sure it\’s because you want a home, and not because you are expecting to make any money on the deal.
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